In the annals of college football, there are few men like Coach Paul Johnson, formerly of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Johnson was not only the only D1 coach who had never actually played football in college, but he was also the master of a unique and brain-y offensive system known as the “triple option”. It worked at GA Tech, at least for a while, with Johnson and the boys knocking off more than a few teams that outranked them…sometimes by a whole heck of a lot. After one such victory, Coach was asked about his mindset coming into a game that he was heavily predicted to lose but won anyway.
“That’s why you play the game” was his sardonic and cynical response, as if to say that just looking at the stats on paper means little, if not nothing.
Now, as the mainstream media continues to inundate the nation with news of Joe Biden’s surging poll numbers and purportedly-inevitable 2020 victory, a famed political science professor is reminding us that there is plenty of time left on the clock.
Mediaite reported on Wednesday that Stony Brook professor Helmut Norpoth is doubling down on his “Primary Model,” which has correctly predicted five out of the past six elections since 1996 and every single election but two in the past 108 years.
“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning in November,” Norpoth said. “This model gets it right for 25 of the 27 elections since 1912, when primaries were introduced.”
As Mediaite noted, the two elections the model failed to predict were the 1960 election of John F. Kennedy and the 2000 election of George W. Bush.
Of course, given just how strange a year 2020 has been, we’ll have to take any and all predictions with a grain of salt.
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