For months on end, Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign has been touting a fairly significant lead in national polling, besting incumbent Republican President Donald Trump – sometimes handily.
This has made things awfully cagey out on the campaign trail, as we are all very aware of how little Donald Trump enjoys being on the wrong side of winning, and the election itself has devolved into something akin to a long distance shouting match, except for at the first debate, when it was a no distance shouting match.
But, despite this lead, the Democrats aren’t feeling terribly comfortable about their chances of winning the election.
On Saturday, the Hill published excerpts of a memo that Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, the Democrat nominee’s campaign manager, sent to supporters and activists urging them not to take Biden’s lead in the polls as an assurance of victory.
“We cannot become complacent because the very searing truth is that Donald Trump can still win this race, and every indication we have shows that this thing is going to come down to the wire,” Dillon wrote, adding Democrats did not want to repeat the mistakes of 2016 when turnout dropped because polls inaccurately showed former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton winning in a landslide.
O’Malley Dillon further cautioned supporters in the key 2020 battlegrounds the “race is far closer than some of the punditry we’re seeing on Twitter and on TV would suggest.”
“While we see robust leads at the national level, in the states we’re counting on to carry us to victory like Arizona and North Carolina we’re only up by three points.” she wrote. “We also know that even the best polling can be wrong, and that variables like turnout mean that in a number of critical states we are functionally tied — and that we need to campaign like we’re trailing.”
During the 2015 election, Democrats were almost certain that Hillary Clinton would walk away with a landslide victory, which is something that is likely still haunting them to this day.
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