The election of 2020 will be unique, and for a vast array of reason, not the least of which has to do with just how Americans will be casting their votes.
First and foremost on the mind is the global coronavirus pandemic, and its impact on “at risk” demographics within the United States. The elderly and the immunocompromised are going to do everything within their power to avoid long lines and crowded polling stations. This could mean absentee ballots, mail-in voting, or early voting at less-frequented polling stations.
Early voting is already smashing records as well, which has given us a look into how the race is shaping up in realtime…and this has GOP pollsters spooked.
Democrats have opened up a yawning gap in early voting over Republicans in six of the most crucial battleground states — but that only begins to tell the story of their advantage heading into Election Day.
In a more worrisome sign for Republicans, Democrats are also turning out more low-frequency and newly registered voters than the GOP, according to internal data shared with POLITICO by Hawkfish, a new Democratic research firm, which was reviewed by Republicans and independent experts.
Some are sounding the alarm.
“It’s a warning flare,” said veteran Republican strategist Scott Reed.
“Some Republicans are stuck in a model that we always run up the score on Election Day to make up the difference,” Reed said. “I think running an election in a superpolarized electorate, you want to win early voting. Let’s go. Let’s stop talking and making excuses.”
The Democrats have also rallied their base by pushing a conspiracy theory that Donald Trump is looking to become the first American dictator, and that only an electoral blowout can stop him.
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