HICCUP: Trump’s Polling Versus Biden Takes Strange Turn
What exactly is going on here?
While there is still a plethora of known unknowns out there in the 2024 presidential race, America is slowly coming to a few solid realizations about where this contest is headed.
Donald Trump is in the race. Unsurprising, really, and the former President has suggested that his indictment in Manhattan, (and any other legal trouble ahead), will not curtail his plans to run.
Incumbent President Joe Biden has said he’s preparing to run as well, but unlike Trump, Biden’s base isn’t very gung-ho about the whole thing. They see the octogenarian as too old, (and too gibberish-prone), to compete against Trump in a general election. The Democrats’ only real hope at this point is Trump’s incarceration.
And Trump has been indicted, at least in Manhattan, but legal experts have some rather telling concerns about that whole case.
Voters, however, may be growing nervous.
Quinnipiac University also released a national survey that found Biden edging Trump 49% to 45% in a hypothetical 2024 matchup. The poll, conducted from March 9-13 with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points, also suggested Trump led DeSantis by 14-points in a potential GOP primary.
A recent ABC News/Ipsos poll revealed Biden’s approval up nearly 10-points over Trump, locking in a 34% favorability rate among Americans compared to 25% who have a favorable opinion of the former president. The survey was conducted April 6 to 7, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
While Biden leads the former president in several recent polls, Marquette Law School released a survey the day of Trump’s indictment that found the two potential candidates were neck and neck, both receiving 38% of the vote in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup. About 20% of respondents said they would support someone else. The survey was conducted from March 13 to 22, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
An NPR/Marist poll in March found that 61% of national adults do not want Trump to serve another term in office, with only 38% of national adults hoping Trump is elected in 2024.
The survey stated that 39% of Americans have a favorable opinion of Trump, down 3 percentage points from a November poll that found his favorable opinion at 42%, but up from 38% in the summer. The survey was conducted from March 20 to 23 with a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
Trump has been directing his ire largely at Florida Governor Ron DeSantis of late, anticipating that the Sunshine State lawmaker will be announcing his potential candidacy any week now.
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